Josh Dunkley

We finished the 2019 AFL home and away season with four straight profitable weeks with our Saturday player prop bets! We’ve now had an extra week off to recharge the batteries ahead of the finals where we’ll be looking to keep the ball rolling. There are just two matches on this Saturday, but we’re confident we’re onto some winners once again!

The two games on this slate are as follows:

GWS Giants vs Western Bulldogs at Giants Stadium (bookmarkers’ total 164.5, GWS -2.5)

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond Tigers at Gabba (bookmakers’ total 161.5, RICH -5.5)

As always, we’ve scoured all the markets at the major betting agencies to bring you our favourite plays in a bid to win you some extra spending money. Check out this week’s edition below and good luck to everyone following!

For reference, the graph below displays the average fantasy points each team concedes to opposition players each week. If you want to do a bit of individual research, you can check out our Data Tools here.

Points against

Josh Dunkley

We’ll be kicking off the finals edition of our player prop bets with a play on Bulldogs ball-magnet Josh Dunkley. The 22-year-old has had a superb 2019 season and was pretty stiff to miss out on an AA guernsey if we’re being honest. He’s one of the leading disposal getters in the league and doesn’t mind a tackle either. Moreover, Dunkley has been one of the premium fantasy players this year and doesn’t look like slowing down anytime soon. Amazingly, Dunkley has scored 118+ points in 12 of his last 16 games, and his line has been set at a generous 116.5 on Saturday. Oh, and he scored 150 against the Giants just three weeks ago.

TIP: Josh Dunkley Over 116.5 Fantasy Points - $1.88 PointsBet

Patrick Lipinski

Another young Bulldogs midfielder will feature in our Saturday prop bets, this time it’s Patrick Lipinski. He’s had a sneaky good year and is only getting better each game he plays. He’s just 21 years old and has already become an important member of a really good Bulldogs midfield unit. Lipinski finished off the home and away season with three really strong games that translated to fantasy scores of 91, 129, and 85. The important thing to note here is that the 129 was against the Giants. He and his fellow Dogs were able to run amok that day against a depleted Giants midfield and we’re expecting much of the same this time around, even if they do have a couple of players back.

TIP: Patrick Lipinski Over 83.5 Fantasy Points - $1.88 BetEasy

Lachie Neale

One of the big Brownlow Medal fancies this year is Lions midfielder Lachie Neale, and we believe he’s going to show us why with a big performance on Saturday night. We’ve seen Neale rack up huge numbers this season when he’s allowed to do his own thing, and the Tigers aren’t one to employ a tagger. The Tigers love to back in their midfield to win the ball and for good reason. Neale had a huge 50+ disposals game when they faced each other two weeks ago, and while those numbers are ridiculous, he arguably wasn’t the most influential player on the ground as the Tigers went on to win comfortably. As a result of that, we expect him to be allowed to roam around without a tag again and have another big game. We like his overs, as well as him to top his group at good odds. 

TIP: Lachie Neale Over 105.5 Fantasy Points - $1.88 PointsBet

BetEasy group

TIP: Lachie Neale Most Group A Points - $4.50 BetEasy


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