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AFL 2019 Fantasy Tips: Round 16 Sunday Slate
The perfectly sized three game Sunday slate is back and upon us for Round 16 of the 2019 AFL Premiership Season. The major platforms continue to roll out massive DFS contests:
Also note that Moneyball have the target contest for AFL. The target score is set at 1025, with the total prize pool set at $17,182 for the Friday night slate.
In addition to previews for each and every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings has also unveiled our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best line-ups. It includes daily cheat sheets for both Draftstars and Moneyball, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!
The three games on this slate are as follows:
Carlton vs Melbourne at MCG (bookmarkers’ total 152.5, line MEL -18.5)
North Melbourne vs St Kilda at Blundstone Arena (bookmakers’ total 163.5, NM -23.5)
GWS vs Brisbane at Showground Stadium (bookmakers’ total 164.5, GWS -19.5)
Where to Attack
It is feast or famine on this slate with two of the four leakiest teams in the league this season facing each other in Carlton and Melbourne, while the two stingiest teams also matchup in Brisbane and GWS.
North Melbourne might be the best team to target as they matchup against St Kilda down at Blundstone arena. St Kilda have given up the 5th most points in the league this season.
St Kilda have been one of the top targets for defenders all year, particularly for premium backs. The Saints have conceded 92 points per game to the oppositions top three scoring defenders, which is the second highest mark in the league.
Carlton and Melbourne have both leaked to midfielders this year. The match brings the possibility of a fantasy shootout with Carlton giving up 116 points per game to the oppositions top three scoring midfielders (2nd most in the league), and Melbourne giving up 113 (3rd most).
Carlton have given up the second most points in the league this year to number 1 rucks. This has tempered somewhat with Matthew Kreuzer back in the lineup but should still be a great matchup for the superstar Max Gawn if you trust he has recovered from the rolled ankle.
Stefan Martin has also returned to form recently and draws the 5th best matchup in the league against the Giants who has given up 92 points per game. This round it will be Dawson Simpson who will take the ruck duties for his 4th game of the season.
Kyle Dunkley (MB $3,500, DS $5,000) is set to debut for Melbourne after being picked up in the mid season draft. He is an inside midfielder who has the capability to go forward and should get the opportunity to do both for Melbourne this week. He has drawn an elite matchup for his first game of AFL football against Carlton who have given up the second most points to midfielders this season.
MID PRICED PLAYS
Ed Curnow (MB $7,600, DS $12,990) saw a dramatic role change with Patrick Cripps out last round, attending the most centre bounces for the entire team. The 23 CBA’s was a 23% increase from the prior week, and Patrick Cripps remains out again this season. Last season while playing in the midfield Curnow averaged over 100 points, and scored 101 in a similar role last week. His price is far too cheap if he is playing in the middle, and he has an elite matchup this week against Melbourne who have given up 113 points per game to their opponents top 3 scoring midfielders.
Jasper Pittard (MB $6,700, DS $10,800) draws one of the top matchups in the league for his position on this slate. As noted above St Kilda have conceded the second most points to the top three scoring defenders this season. Pittard has displayed 100+ point ceiling this season, which is a GPP winning score at his price point.
Jack Ziebell (MB $8,800, DS $13,700) has been playing through the midfield significantly more the last 9 rounds and it has resulted in a huge boost in his fantasy scoring. He has averaged 103 fantasy points per game during that period, including two scores over 140. Ziebell loves playing down at Blundstone Arena as well where he has averaged 102 fantasy points over his last 11 games at the ground. Last week his center bounce attendances were down from the week before at just 8, but he still managed 120 fantasy points. The last time I tipped him in at Blundstone he posted a whopping 155.
Stefan Martin (MB $7,700, DS $12,140) has wound the clock back the last two weeks with scores of 115 and 119 points. Martin will benefit this round from playing as a solo ruckman again with neither Archie Smith or Oscar McInerney. As you can see from our ruck tool, with McInerney going down with a concussion in last weeks game Martin had 92% of the Lions hit outs, which was his highest mark of the season by 20%.
Dragon Suggested Moneyball Team
The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for this game. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!
|Jack Ziebell Most Fantasy Points||$5.00||Bet now at BetEasy!|
|Josh Kelly Under 119.5||$1.87||Bet now at Neds!|
|Ed Curnow 30+ Disposals||$4.50||Bet now at Sportsbet!|
|Stef Martin Fantasy Handicap +27.5||$8.00||Bet now at Pointsbet!|
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