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AFL 2020 Daily Fantasy Tips: Round 12 - Saturday
It may not feel traditional, but three games on a Saturday feels different on what we’ve been playing lately for AFL Daily Fantasy. The league has put out a later start time for the slate so we have more time to prep for fantasy contests including:
- AFL $60,000+ Saturday at Draftstars
- AFL $10,000+ Saturday ($150 Entry) at Draftstars
- AFL $5,000 Saturday Fiver at Draftstars
- AFL $3,000+ Saturday ($2 Entry) at Draftstars
- AFL $6,000 Saw Tooth at DraftKings
In addition to previews for each and every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings will continue with our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best lineups. It includes daily cheat sheets for both Draftstars and DraftKings, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!
North Melbourne vs Brisbane at Metricon (BNE -34.5, 114.5)
Melbourne vs Collingwood at the Gabba (COL -4.5, 102.5)
Fremantle vs Carlton at Optus Stadium (FRE -2.5 101.5)
Brisbane/Gold Coast Area
I first saw the totals in the markets and immediately thought there must be some weather. For a slate that has 3 games, all will be influenced by potential wet conditions. It must be said, no matter where footy would be this week the nation is copping some rain throughout.
Where to Attack
Unless you like living on the dark side and burning money for warmth, you can almost discount North Melbourne players straight away. Brisbane in their last 5 have given up the least amount of fantasy points to overall opposition. The forecasted conditions will probably bring the Kangaroos back closer to the Lions as Brisbane are 14th in the league for total possessions per game (281).
The main team on this slate is Collingwood. Number 1 in the league for total possessions and up against the Demons who are 2nd in fantasy points scored against in the midfield and 3rd in defense. I have concerns for Melbourne who are last in the league for Tackles (45 per game) if the conditions become a tightly contested match.
I touched on Melbourne being 3rd in backs, but what about the Pies? 4th overall and 2nd in top 3 could mean you can run back Demon defenders. Even Freo says ‘hello’ when it comes to fantasy points being leaked down back.
The pivotal news for this slate is the absence of Max Gawn who would have gone against his arch nemesis in Brodie Grundy. Both Grundy and Gawn are kryptonite for opposition rucks and with Gawn gone this could be a smash spot for Grundy. Out of the 6 teams on the slate, Carlton are equal 2nd in the past 5 matches for points against and after Sean Darcy 82 points against Hawthorn last week, could be the one at value.
Josh Honey (DS $5,000, DK $2,800)
The no.3 pick in the 2019 Rookie Draft, Honey according to Carlton is a “damaging half forward who can push into the midfield with his terrific athleticism”. Honey averaged 16 disposals with five tackles in his time in the NAB league for the Western Jets and probably spend the match either in the pocket or half-forward. Not the best confidence first up but we cannot ignore minimal prices options in fantasy.
Luke Davies-Uniacke (DS $7,690, DK $4,900)
LDU will be very popular after being inserted into the Kangaroos midfield and thriving in this position. 78FP in Round 9 and 71FP in Round 11 while attending 50% of CBA’s in Round 11. With Aaron Hall and Jared Polec omitted from the side then LDU is going to get all the work he can handle. Tough matchup against the Lions but at that salary he is the ideal value option.
MID PRICED PLAYS
Matthew Kennedy (DS $9,400, DK $5,500)
I just do not know why Kennedy’s salary just doesn’t budge on Draftstars! And you can see why fantasy players just keep playing him when ownership is 60%+. 40%+ CBA attendances last week against the Eagles with 5 tackles and 13 possessions. If the conditions are greasy at best, then look for Kennedy to be in and under the packs.
Sean Darcy (DS $9,290, DK $5,000)
Once Marc Pittonet was out for the Blues and they threw the keys of the ruck division to Tom De Koning then Darcy must be licking his chops. Darcy had a season high 82 fantasy points against Hawthorn, and you can only wonder if De Koning can stop him at the stoppages. One thing that brings Darcy’s output down is his lack of possessions around the ground but the matchup is just too good to ignore.
Taylor Adams (DS $16,450 DK $8,100)
It seems to be too perfect of a narrative here: 1. Grundy going against Braydon Preuss. 2. Adam Treloar injured and out of the side. 3. Scott Pendlebury coming back after injury and probably be managed in the forward line or at least his TOG%. 4. Bit of weather around. 5. Going against the Demons midfield who are leaking points. I could make this list much bigger, but Adams will be the target of many coaches. Adams has stayed healthy in 2020 and has gone 90+ on 7 games this season and is at least a very good cash play. Steele Sidebottom is a good pivot or stacking option after his 89% CBA percentage last round. Pendlebury returning eliminates that high number (although Brayden Sier is out with a Quad injury) but Steele is worthy of consideration after his 123FP in round 21 in 2019.
Game Stacks – Collingwood Mids (But look for pivots to avoid high ownership such as Brisbane)
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