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AFL 2021 Daily Fantasy Tips: Round 10 Saturday
The big Saturday slates in the AFL continue again this week in Round 10 with 5 games to analyse for your winning fantasy lineups. The major DFS platforms have another great set of contests on offer, including:
- AFL $75,000+ Saturday at Draftstars
- AFL $10,000+ Saturday High Roller ($150 Entry) at Draftstars
- AFL $5,000 Saturday Fiver at Draftstars
- AFL $3,000+ Saturday ($2 Entry) at Draftstars
- AFL 300k Golden Ticket Qualifiers ($5 and $20 Entry) at Draftstars
- AFL $1K Blinder at DraftKings
In addition to previews for each and every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings will continue with our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best lineups. It includes daily cheat sheets for both Draftstars and DraftKings, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!
Carlton v Hawthorn at the MCG (CAR -19.5, 171.5)
Geelong v Gold Coast at GMHBA Stadium (GEE -44.5, 158.5)
Adelaide v Melbourne at the Adelaide Oval (MEL-27.5, 164.5)
Western Bulldogs v St Kilda at Marvel Stadium (WB -24.5, 170.5)
Fremantle v Sydney at Optus Stadium (SYD -2.5, 138.5)
The majority of this slate is set to be played in fine, sunny conditions (or under a roof). The exception to this is the late game in WA. Sharp eyes may have noticed the low 138.5 point total in the Fremantle v Sydney game and this is predominantly due to a forecast of 10-25mm of rain developing in the afternoon and evening. Not good news for the outside runners there so you may look towards the stoppage players in that match.
Where to Attack?
Plenty of good spots here for the cheap half back flankers. Western Bulldogs have been a team to target all year when choosing your defenders but Fremantle and St Kilda are right up there too when it comes to conceding points to opposition backmen. The weather may dampen things for the Swans defenders but there will be no such worries for the Dogs and Saints under the roof at Marvel.
The Saints are also right up the pointy end when it comes to leaking points to opposition midfields. This is particularly so for the opposition’s best midfielders - giving up a whopping 119 to the top 3 across the past 5 games. Coming up against the scary on-ball brigade of the Bulldogs, this could result in some big scores for the resident Bulldog pigs.
The options don’t end there however. Gold Coast have been giving up some big scores to quality midfielders and they head down to Geelong in what looks an enormous task on paper. The Hawks are also getting chopped up through the middle and even dropped their game last week against the lowly Kangaroos. The Blues midfielders must be looking forward to this matchup.
With rain forecast for the game in WA, there’s an interesting difference in styles between the Dockers and the Swans. The Swans can be hard to score against but they do allow opposition to accumulate contested possessions and tackles. Fremantle are the opposite - they are tough inside but gettable on the outside. One may think the wet conditions will suit the Dockers here given a look at these numbers.
Game stacks - Bulldogs, Cats, Dockers inside.
Jordon Sweet (DS $7,690) gets the ruck to himself again for the Bulldogs against the Saints and he has been performing admirably in that role despite his lack of experience. He comes up against the wily Paddy Ryder ($11,760) who also gets the ruck to himself with Rowan Marshall returning to the injury list. Both teams sit in the top 4 for points conceded to opposition rucks so both big men look to have the matchup and salary to be major players on this slate.
Gary Rohan (DS $8,390) has long been a fantasy tease but the past couple of seasons has seen him put his hand up as a genuine slate breaker in this price range. Three of his past five scores have been 78 or better - an excellent return at this price - but the most encouraging thing is his ability to hit three figures when things go his way. In a potential flogging against the Suns, there’s every chance things are going to go his way here.
MID RANGE PLAYS
Sam Menegola (DS $11,460) has been a little hard to catch this season but there is no doubting he has a great ceiling for a player in this salary range. A carcass at the Cattery is right up his alley and the betting suggests that’s what we’re going to see when the Suns turn up on Saturday, given Geelong’s 44.5 point handicap. All of the Geelong midfielders are in play but it’s hard to find a better combination of value and upside than we get from Menegola here.
Caleb Serong (DS $11,150) is a proper high-risk, high-reward option on this slate. He’s only gone over 80 twice this season - meaning the majority of his performances are only fair at best at this price - but he did go huge for 143 against North a few weeks ago. The appeal here is his role in the middle of the ground and his work rate around the ball, which will be suited in wet conditions. Don’t get carried away here but this is potentially a low-owned play which could give you the leg up on your opposition.
Sam Walsh (DS $15,300) is having a superb season with an average of 107 and a season low of 85. Those numbers alone stack up very nicely at this salary but now consider he comes up against a Hawthorn side that gave up 140+ last week to Jy Simpkin in a loss to the Kangaroos. A potential tag is a small concern but 120+ looks right in play here for Walsh against a Hawks team which is currently all at sea.
Jackson Macrae (DS $15,880) is one of the biggest fantasy scorers in the competition, averaging 117 on the season, so his salary here feels a little light on. We’ve outlined the great matchup here against the Saints and you get some salary relief on the other major players on the slate in Duncan and Guthrie against the Suns. He hasn’t gone under 100 all season and has genuine 150 point upside so this does appeal as about as safe a play as you can get at this kind of price.
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