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BBL09 Fantasy Tips: Heat vs Scorchers
The first game in year 2020 for BBL09 takes place on Wednesday night at Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast between the Brisbane Heat and the Perth Scorchers.
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Draftstars have $20,000 up for grabs in their main contest for a $15 entry, and $1,500 guaranteed for their popular $2 Mini. Moneyball have put up $5,000 for their $15 contest and $500 for their $2 buy in contest.
After disappointing losses in their first two matches, the Heat got their season back on track with a dominant victory against the Sixers on the back of a whirlwind 94 from their superstar Chris Lynn. They have some welcome team news here too with big hitting Englishman Tom Banton returning to the squad after a virus. He replaces Mitch Swepson who is preparing with the Test squad ahead of Friday’s match against New Zealand. This opens the door for left-arm spinner Matt Kuhnemann to potentially play his first game of the season.
The Scorchers fell to 1-3 after a home ground defeat against the Sixers last time but go into this game with an unchanged 13 man squad.
The forecast for this match is 29 and sunny so weather shouldn’t have any impact on this match. As mentioned before the first game at Metricon this season, it is one of the lowest fantasy scoring venues in the nation and the game between the Heat and the Stars was no different to that. Glenn Maxwell and Tom Banton showed the deck was good enough to smash quick runs if you have the quality, while the bowling spoils were shared but Dan Worrall showed there can be some movement for the quicks. It remains the 2nd lowest scoring ground in the country for bowlers, only trailing the notoriously batting friendly Blundstone Oval in Hobart.
Bookmakers have installed the Heat as $1.70 favourites for this match and that looks on the money given the brittleness of the Scorchers this season. The betting also lines up with our Points Against data as the Scorchers have given up more fantasy points than any other team in the competition this year. Expect Heat-leaning teams to be quite popular but given the Heat were beaten favourites in both Queensland games this year and they have allowed the 2nd highest fantasy points against them, there is definitely hope for those looking to go against popular opinion.
Love It – Tom Banton ($16,900 Draftstars)
Chris Lynn is going to be super popular after his latest knock and with good reason – he is one player who can break the slate. You don’t need me to tell you Lynn is always one of the better plays though so I’ll go with Tom Banton. Banton was explosive against the Stars and may come in at lower ownership. Playing both is fine and will be very popular but if I want to choose between the two, I think I want to take my chances with Banton.
Don’t Love It – Mitch Marsh ($17,600 Draftstars)
Marsh is generally priced up given his all round status but his bowling has been a non-event this year. He has only bowled 4 overs, taking 0/43, and wasn’t required at the bowling crease last game against the Sixers. When he is on he is still a very damaging batsmen but he doesn’t hit the heights you would like from a batsman at this salary.
Who Knows – Max Bryant ($14,400 Draftstars)
Bryant has been incredibly disappointing so far this season, failing to score more than 16 fantasy points in any of his three games. As his price comes down and fantasy coaches get sick of playing him and having their lineups killed, he becomes an increasingly tantalising tournament play. The risk is high, but as long as he opens the batting and strikes the ball as well as he does, the chance of a big return is there.
Love It – Chris Jordan ($17,100 Draftstars)
In a match with few gun bowling options, it is hard to go past the recent form of Perth’s Chris Jordan. He has taken 7 wickets in 4 games so far, topping 60 fantasy points in 3 of those matches. The Heat may have a few imposing batsmen but their depth is questionable and they do give chances so even if they set a big total Jordan can still pick up wickets through the innings.
Don’t Love It – Ben Cutting ($17,000 Draftstars)
With Banton back in the lineup, any thoughts of Ben Cutting batting up the order look far fetched and he should remain in his number 5/6 position. He has only been averaging around 2 and a half overs with the ball also and only bowled 2 overs last time against the Sixers. Given this reduced opportunity and his popularity with fantasy coaches, he looks like an expensive option with limited upside.
Who Knows – Ashton Agar ($15,300 Draftstars)
Agar has been a quality player in the past couple of seasons of BBL cricket but has had a slow start to the year. The opportunity is still there – he’s averaging about 3 overs a game with the ball and coming in around number 6/7 with the bat – but things haven’t clicked for him. The Heat are an intriguing matchup for spinners – if you get it right the opportunities come, as the Thunder proved in the first game of the season, but if you get it wrong you can go to all corners of the ground. Agar looks another player who is out of favour with fantasy coaches but an interesting tournament option.