daily fantasy sports articles
BBL09 Fantasy Tips: Strikers vs Scorchers
Game 10 of the BBL season takes place at the Adelaide Oval, with the Strikers taking on the Scorchers. While the season this year will be one week shorter, we still see the full home and away roster as well as a revamped five match finals format.
Along with our famous FREE Cheat Sheets and Data Tools in our Data Tools section, new for the BBL09 season, Daily Fantasy Rankings presents the Draftstars Lineup Builder! Using our Data Tools and Projections you will be able to quickly build and import BBL teams into Draftstars by using the CSV upload. Access the Builder including tutorials on how the builder works by clicking the banner below.
The two major Australian DFS sites have provided great pools early into the tournament. Draftstars have $20,000 up for grabs in their $15 contest, as well as a $1,500 Mini and even a $200 Single Entry contest for a $10 buy-in. Moneyball are offering a $7,000 contest for a $15 entry as well as a $500 guarantee on their $2 contest.
Adelaide has a median total of 160, with an average of six wickets lost. Batting in the first five and last five at least seem to be similar given that the mean Powerplay Runs and also 15-20 over runs are 45 and 49 respectively. Conserving wickets up top is critical, however, as the average total when no powerplay wickets are lost is 177 – dropping 25 runs to 152 if batting teams lose two in the powerplay. Interestingly, despite being known as a good batting track, chasing teams have only won 41.5% at this venue.
The Scorchers come into this match with one win and one loss after turning around a shocking first performance by defending a big score at home. The batting could not have been more different to the first round – all batsmen got to double figures at least, compared to only two in the first match against the Sixers. I’m still not sure which performance we should be expecting from this Perth team on a regular basis; it could be a case of having a great day at home, or just a more baseline shift after a terrible opener. Either way, tread carefully when selecting their players.
What was most interesting about Perth’s last match is that they got a big score without more than 30 from one of their openers. Turner also only scored 36. It indicates that they do have batting options beyond their two best players in Livingstone and Turner, something likely to please Adam Voges and co.
Chris Jordan and Fawad Ahmed were the pick of the bowlers at Optus, with two wickets apiece at an economy rate of 7.5 and 5.5 respectively. Jhye Richardson continues to be a feast or famine type bowler, while Kelly and Agar were also expensive (on a very good batting surface). The less Marsh bowls, the better for the Scorchers, so performances from their front-liners are critical.
It was hard to take much out of the bowling from the Strikers after they posted an average score at Manuka. Carey and Weatherald made runs at the top, while Wells nailed a 30 ball 50 at the end to push them above 50. I can’t imagine Matt Short bats at three for much longer while Alex Carey is in the team, and hopefully drops down to 4-6.
Love it – Philip Salt ($14,800, Draftstars)
It’s quite nice to find a bargain at this price. Salt is not exactly what he seems in that while his projected scores are still pretty good, his real value comes from his career 153 strike rate in t20s. He is one of the most explosive batsmen in the competition and will threaten the maximum strike rate bonus of 0.5 points per run (on Draftstars) quite often. He’s not going to be mega consistent, but has an extreme ceiling.
Don’t Love it – Mitch Marsh ($18,100 Draftstars)
Going to have to put big Mitch in back to back ‘’don’t love it’’ segments after the Bison has been priced up as the second most expensive player in the slate again. Yes, he scored well last game. No, that doesn’t mean he’ll do the same again and I’m happy to swerve him for higher projecting players.
Who Knows? – Matt Short ($10,200, Draftstars)
I don’t think he’ll stay there, but while Matt Short bats at three, you may as well make hay while the sun shines and accept that he’s a reasonable choice as a cheap option. Is he any good? That still remains to be seen, but his low projected total is likely to be because of him batting down the order in the past. He’s clearly impressed the Adelaide coaching staff enough for them to promote him up in the first game, so perhaps he will be a better top order batsman than he was middle-lower. Throw in his bowling (three wickets in seventeen matches) and he’s literally the definition of a who knows!
Love it – Chris Jordan ($16,700, Draftstars)
If you cast your mind back to the preview I wrote for the first scorchers game, I said that if Jordan could bring his international form to domestic cricket, he’d be a star. Luckily for Perth, it looks like he’s done that. 2/13 off 3 in a match where Phillippe was rampaging was backed up with 2/30 off four on an excellent batting track. He’s faced two stiff tests and has four wickets at an economy rate of 6.14. At some point you just have to tip your hat.
Don’t Love it – Liam O'Connor ($9,500 Draftstars)
O'Connor has come into the 13 man squad for the Strikers as a replacement for Peter Siddle. O'Connor has been used in tandem with Rashid Khan to mixed results. His previous fantasy scores are lackluster and whilst the price is cheap, only taking wickets will push his score along. I would be amazed if he took 2 wickets with economy bonuses.
Who Knows? – Ashton Agar ($15,500, Draftstars)
Agar has built a career by being a consistently economic bowler between overs 6-14. He’s never going to be a Rashid Khan or Qais Ahmed in terms of taking wickets, but his line and length are usually immaculate. Draftstars rewards that type of bowling with generous economy rate bonuses, making Agar another guy with a huge ceiling. The question is how he’s going to go against a team with two left-handers and Philip Salt inside the top four after coming off a pasting last match. My personal opinion is that he’ll bounce back, but there is an element of mystery about it, and him vs. the Adelaide top order will be one of the best mini-battles of this match.