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Crunching Numbers: AFL Round 20 Sunday Slate DFS Lineup Tips
Round 20 of the AFL Sunday slate will see a rather lopsided clashes between fifth-placed GWS Giants and the last-placed Carlton, Melbourne who are sixth on the table will play the second-last Gold Coast Suns and then second-placed West Coast will play the 13th place Fremantle in a local derby.
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Thanks to Fantasy Boss we've got your DFS teams covered with all the best plays for each game detailed below.
Premium midfielders with nice match-ups
Clayton Oliver and Angus Brayshaw come up against the top ranked midfield match-up in Gold Coast. Last week Cripps (162) and Murphy (139) both went off against the Suns and in the two games prior it was much the same with Josh P.Kennedy (134) and Zach Merrett (138). On top of all of this, the Suns go in without regular midfielders David Swallow and Jarryd Lyons.
The West Coast Eagles midfielders, who are flying already, face the second best midfield match-up in the local derby against Fremantle. Last week Hawthorn’s midfield trio of Tom Mitchell (160), Liam Shiels (119) and Jaeger O’Meara (118) all cashed in. Andrew Gaff has a last 5 average of 118, Jack Redden 115, Elliot Yeo 109 and Luke Shuey 100.
And coming in at third place in the favourable midfield match-ups is Carlton, so look for the Giants to get a hold of them here. Josh Kelly and Stephen Coniglio are your premium priced picks and rightly so with season averages of 112 and 109 respectively. Callan Ward is a price bracket lower due to being tagged last week for 73. Ward won’t be tagged ahead of the aforementioned Giants very often and previous to that he was in red hot form.
Forwards vs Fremantle and Carlton
Understandably so, keeping in mind their seasons to date, forwards vs Fremantle (+11.4) and Carlton (+10.0) come up on our overview radar. This +/- data outlines the difference between what a team concedes for that position and the league average.
Last week against Fremantle, Luke Bruest scored 108 and in the previous week it was Orazio Fantasia scoring 116. Look for Patrick Cripps to do well, he’s in soft match-up bullying form having scored 101 against the Bulldogs and then following it up with 106 against the favorable Kangaroos.
With regards to Giants players against Carlton, Toby Greene could finally be primed with three games under his belt now. At just $10,410 he will be highly owned again this week. Jeremy Cameron also returns for his first game in 5 weeks.
Defenders vs Gold Coast
Defenders playing against the Gold Coast Suns also comes up favourable at +9.2. The Suns have conceded the most points on average to all defenders across the year and also in the last 5 games. They concede the most points to the top 3 scoring backs and have recently extended that to the bottom three scoring backs. So basically everyone is in play here! Jordan Lewis has an average in his last 3 games of 93, a healthy 12 up on his season average while Christian Salem has strung together 4 good games in a row across half back, averaging 84 in that time. Last time they played was in Round 8 this year, where Lewis went for 97 and Salem racked up a season high 119!
To round out the feel good stories for the weekend, that has included the return of Alex Johnson and debut of Nathan Freeman, we are treated with the $5000 Aaron vandenBerg returning after almost two years on the sidelines. The Melbourne Demon has averaged 90 in his VFL preparation and it is his tackle counts of 16, 8 and 10 in the last three games that is most impressive.
Pearce Hanley comes in at $8,000 with only an injury effected score of 24 in the books so far this year. A proven scorer throughout his years with a career fantasy average of 82 across 10 seasons, which includes recent averages of 72 in 2017, 84 in 2016 and 89 in 2015.
All of the stats and information used in this article has been provided by the team at Fantasy Boss - one of the pioneers for DFS data in Australia. Remember that all projections are merely based off the statistical data provided and we can not guarantee player scores or success in your DFS contests, but we think this information should give you a good head start! Good luck!