3M Open

This week the PGA Tour travels to Blaine, Minnesota for the 3M Open, a new event on Tour. It will be played at TPC Twin Cities which had hosted a PGA Champions Tour event (3M Championship for the older generation) from 2001 up until last season. It has regularly produced low scores and while it has been lengthened around 250-300 yards, I still think we see a birdie fest this week. The course has numerous water hazards but the fairways are large, the greens are simple Bentgrass and the rough and trees are not as brutal compared to previous events. The par 5’s are all reachable by the longer hitters and we have a couple of par 4’s that are driveable as well. Looks like more low scores this week. We're dealing with a par 71, 7,434-yard layout. 

The signature hole is the par 5 18th, which is going to be some fun watching for the risk-reward players. Scores could range from 3 to 8 on this hole alone. 

The field is led by World #1 Brooks Koepka and Bryson DeChambeau (#8) joins him as the only other player inside the Top 10 World Golf Rankings. Overall, there are just nine of the Top 50 and 28 of the Top 100 players teeing it up this week. The field is at 156 and the cut will be 70 plus ties with the MDF rule in effect after round 3. 

This week Draftkings have posted a $500,000 Drive the Green Contest for a $5 buy-in. At Draftstars a $10,000 contest is available for a $15 entry. Note Draftstars contest for the Rocket Heritage ($8,000) did not fill last week, so it's a good opportunity to jump in this week!

Lockout for this slate is 21:50pm on Thursday evening (AEST), so there's still plenty of time to put your line-ups in. 

TPC Twin Cities is a new course on the tour, so there isn't too much to go off. We do, however, have history from the Champions tour, although the course has since been renovated to accommodate the younger pros. According to rotogrinders.com here are this week's key statistics:

Key Statistics (In Order of Importance)

1) Strokes Gained Off the Tee (Emphasis on Distance)

2) Strokes Gained Approach

3) Birdie or Better Percentage

4) Strokes Gained Putting 

5) Greens in Regulation

3M Open Fantasy Plays

Brooks Koepka ($11,900 DK $23,150 DS) - Sure there is the “Brooks doesn’t play well at tour events in weak fields” narrative. But this is “Mythbusters” week and I want a piece of Koepka on a bombers course and firing at pins. On Draftkings he is going to be around 12% owned, and whilst it is going to compromise your builds, there is some good value plays in the 7k range to compensate. On Draftstars, $23,150 is a lot but I am confident of a very high finish. 8th SG: Off the Tee, 4th SG: Approach, 2nd Birdies of Better %.  

Hideki Matsuyama ($11,100 DK $22,000 DS) - Can I just repeat what I wrote last week? Such a consistent golfer and really deserves a win on the back of the results this season. If we are going to knock Hideki, we need a Top 5 from him this week to pay off his large salary. But with the value on Draftstars this week, he's an easy pick if you are fading Koepka. 2nd SG: Approach, 6th Birdies or Better %. 

Sam Burns ($7,300 DK $14,180 DS) - Looking for a cheap play who can bomb the ball then putt well once on the green - Burns fits the brief. Apart from a round 1 withdrawal at the Memorial, Burns has made the last 5 cuts and ranks 26th in the field for SG: Off the Tee, 14th SG: Putting and 12th in Driving Distance. 

Wyndham Clark ($7,100 DK $13,060 DS) - Another in the bomber and putt mould, Clark has turned his form around with a couple of great results at the Rocket Mortgage (T17) and the Travellers (T15). 2nd in the field SG: Putting and 5th in the field for Driving Distance and 5th in the field for Birdies or Better %.

Josh Teater ($6,500 DK $9,340 DS) - Exceptional value play in this field. 79 fantasy points at the Rocket Mortgage and 79.5 fantasy points at the Travellers in his last two starts. 16th in the field for SG: Approach and 18th in the field for Driving Accuracy. If you want to pay up for the big players on this slate, especially on Draftstars, then Teater could be the key at his salary. 

Rory Sabbatini ($9,500 DK $17,500 DS) - Going to be super high-owned on Draftstars due to his 'discount' compared to Draftkings. I loved him last week and he pulled through with the goods with a 3rd place at the Rocket Mortgage. But I'm making an ownership stand this week and will be looking for others around this price range. Seriously considering Sungjae Im, Joaquin Niemann and Scott Piercy who is a bit of a sneaky play who hasn’t played since the US Open.

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The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for this event. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!

Dragon's Picks Odds Sportsbook
Top 40 - Josh Teater $3.40 Bet now at Sportsbet!
Group 2 Betting - Joaquin Niemann $3.55 Bet now at Neds!
Top South Korean - Sungjae Im $2.30 Bet now at BetEasy!
None of J. Day, T. Finau nor K. Bradley Top 5 $1.86 Bet now at Pointsbet!

 

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