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NFL 2020-21 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 13
The schedule has been in flux, but we’ve ended up with an interesting 11 game slate which has more than enough good plays to get excited about. As of Friday morning, no games look to have any weather concerns, but it’s worth monitoring over the weekend. Lets get into it!
Draftstars continues to come to the party with another $25,000 contest for Week 13. A High Roller ($150 Entry), Micro ($0.50 entry) and a Mini contest is also available for an entry of $2.
On DraftKings, there are various types of Classic contests in the lobby highlighted by the $3,500,000 Fantasy Football Millionaire where 1st prize is $1,000,000! Entry into this contest is $20 USD per entry. There are plenty of contests on DraftKings including, single, 3 entry max and 20 entry max contests.
OUT: Josh Jacobs * Jonnu Smith * Irv Smith Jnr * Kenny Golladay * Matt Breida
Doubtful: Daniel Jones * Salvon Ahmed * DeAndre Washington * Travis Homer
Questionable: * D'Andre Swift * Myles Gaskin (could be off IR) * Allen Robinson * Darnell Mooney * Tua Tagovailoa * Julio Jones * Todd Gurley * Kalen Ballage * Carlos Hyde * Chris Conley
Probable: Matt Stafford * Cam Newton * David Johnson
IN: * D.J Chark * Zach Ertz * Jonathan Taylor
Ryan Fitzpatrick ($6,000): As long as Fitzmagic retains the starting role over Tua, this is the value play of the slate. That is not certain at this point, with Tua ($10,810) practising a little and the coach suggesting he may play if healthy. At minimum price, Fitz would be a good play even in a horrible matchup and low total game, but the Bengals should give him the opportunity to create some big plays and put up a nice score.
UPDATE: Tua is on track to be the starter making Fitzpatrick the backup.
Dolphins aren’t elevating practice squad QB Reid Sinnett this week, a good hint that Tua Tagovailoa starts Sunday vs. Bengals. Tua has been limited with a left thumb injury for two weeks, but he will be active tomorrow and looks like he could miss just one game.— Cameron Wolfe (@CameronWolfe) December 5, 2020
Phillip Rivers ($11,630): Rivers has been sneaky good from a fantasy perspective, with 20+ point games in 3 of his last 6. Not outstanding, but pretty good for such an old, washed up QB. The Texans are one of the softer matchups in the league, and it helps that they can score well enough to keep the game close. It’s hard to know who to stack Rivers with, although the likes of TY Hilton ($8,810) and Trey Burton ($7,690) are the cheaper and more likely options on the team, while Michael Pittman ($11,190) is starting to show more as a rookie. If you hate those stacks, I don’t mind Derek Carr ($11,540) or Mitch Trubisky ($11,840) as similar plays.
Kirk Cousins ($12,080): This just looks like a good play. The Jaguars defence is bad, and I’m pretty sure they’re in full tank mode and not looking to win. The Vikings have been going slightly better (against weak opponents) lately, and Cousins has some solid weapons to throw the ball to. Playing in a dome helps. The main downside is that the Vikings could win too easily and lean on Dalvin Cook ($19,010) and Alexander Mattison ($6,000) to do all the damage.
Duke Johnson ($7,210): This is not the strongest play in the world, but Duke is just too cheap. He retains the bulk of the work for the Texans with Dave Johnson out, and he gets some work int he receiving game if the Texans fall behind as expected. Will Fuller being out for the rest of the season only increases his chances of getting more targets and becoming a nice value play on this slate.
Derrick Henry ($16,120): I’m still carrying some strong regrets from missing the Henry Train last week, with a big 40 point outing against the Colts. He gets a nice matchup this week against the Browns, who aren’t great against the run. I’ll take the discount to Dalvin Cook and use Henry as my main back.
Austin Ekeler ($13,940): Another player that was good last week and finds a better matchup to exploit this week. He was supposed to be eased back from injury, but immediately attracted 14 carries and a whopping 16 targets. The game script is uncertain against the Patriots, but I’m happy to back him whether playing with the lead or trailing. I also like James Robinson ($14,510) in this price range, he just won’t see as much passing game work as Ekeler.
Devante Parker/Jakeem Grant: Because of the insane value of Fitzpatrick, I really think you only need to stack one Dolphins player with him. That player is likely to be Parker ($12,440), who had great chemistry with his QB all of last season, and last week saw a massive 14 targets. Grant ($6,000) is interesting as the #2 WR on the team at minimum price, but is likely a very thin play.
Tyler Boyd ($7,400) /AJ Green ($6,000) /Tee Higgins ($9,180): All three of these guys are insanely cheap. There are reasons for that, with Joe Burrow out for the season, leaving Brandon Allen as they ordinary QB, and Miami proving a very tough secondary to beat. Despite that, any one of the three could be a good addition to the popular Fitz/Parker stack if they can get off a big play or two.
Justin Jefferson ($14,820) /Adam Thielen ($15,960): This far into the season, it’s fair to reflect on how amazing it is that the Vikings traded away Stefon Diggs and ended up with a rookie as good as Jefferson. These are both amazing receivers in good matchups, I’m just not sure if I want to play both in the same lineup at such elevated salaries. Instead I might pair one of them with Kyle Rudolph ($6,000) in my Kirk Cousins lineups.
Darren Waller ($13,010): Waller is a bit of a rollercoaster this season. He’s still showing off a big ceiling, but he’s thrown in several stinkers. Against the Jets he shouldn’t find much resistance from a team determined to not win a game. He’s by far the most expensive player at the position, so you’ll have to find some value elsewhere. One option is to pair him with teammates Derek Carr and Nelson Agholor ($7,090) in a reasonably priced stack given such a soft matchup.
Hunter Henry ($7,590): For about the 5th preview in a row, I’m telling you to play this guy. It’s been going a little better of late with 3 straight scores of ~13. I’m still waiting patiently for the 20+ score, and the Patriots haven’t been outstanding against TEs this season. I do love playing Justin Herbert, so I’ll take this chance to suggest a Herbert/Ekeler/Henry stack if you think they can make light work of the declining Patriots defence.
Seattle Seahawks ($6,470): The Hawks get to sink their teeth into either error-prone Daniel Jones, or very ordinary Colt McCoy if Jones can’t play with his hamstring issue. Either way I like their chances of creating turnovers and racking up double digit fantasy points.
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