daily fantasy sports articles
NFL 2021-22 Daily Fantasy Tips: Week 12
After a big day of games on Thanksgiving Friday, we get a 10 game main slate for Week 12 leftovers. Draftstars has delivered another $30,000 prize pool $2,666 to first place. With only one game boasting a 50+ totals (Bucs v Colts), it’s a week where you might be able to talk yourself into just about anyone, but we do have some nice value at the RB position in particular. Let’s take a look.
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(Updated at 1900 AEDT 27/11)
Antonio Brown / A.J. Brown / Michael Carter / Joe Flacco / Calvin Ridley / Jeremy McNichols / Stirling Shepard / Jordan Howard
Kadarius Toney / Corey Davis
Cordarrelle Patterson / Saquon Barkley / Damien Harris / Aaron Jones / Eli Mitchell / Rhamondre Stevenson / Hunter Henry
Tom Brady ($13,860)
There has been a bit of a dip for Brady and his reigning champs the Bucs. Don’t let those thoughts of ‘Father Time’ catching up with him creep into your head, he will bounce back in a big way very soon. While the Colts are a tough matchup given their hot form, it sets up nicely for a game where Brady has to throw all day long. With none of the reliable fantasy premiums on the slate, I trust Brady more than Herbert and Rodgers in brutal matchups.
Jalen Hurts ($13,820)
After that it comes down to a choice between two mobile QBs in good matchups, Hurts or Cam Newton for my #2 ranking. I’m favouring Hurts because he’s younger, has a few more runs on the board this season, and I suspect the Dolphins could give the Panthers a grinding battle. I also think Hurts has a couple of more realistic stacking options than Newton, who will be throwing plenty of his passes to the obscenely expensive CMC.
Jeff Wilson ($9,000)
Wilson was a chalky bust last week, but I think we can safely say that things just didn’t fall his way. He has the lead role and remains too cheap for his workload. The Vikings matchup is not particularly easy, but it isn’t the end of the world. With some other cheap options in play such as Gaskin and possibly AJ Dillon, Wilson is my preference but not a must-play.
Jonathan Taylor ($17,880)
The studs are expensive this week, with all of McCaffrey, Kupp, Adams and Kittle priced at or near their maximums. Taylor is also seeing his highest price, but I can’t not mention him after a ridiculous 5 TDs and 56 fantasy points in a supposedly bad matchup last week. The Bucs matchup is tough this week, but with 8 straight weeks of 20+ points there are worse ways to spend up with another week of tough matchups for most of the top players.
Chris Godwin ($12,670)
With Mike Evans banged up, Godwin looks like the #1 option for Brady stacks this week, especially given a very generous price tag under 13k. With Antonio Brown unlikely to return & Rob Gronkowski seemingly not up to full speed again, Godwin should be the only Bucs receiver with 30-point potential. Getting the most volume in the highest total game of the week makes this a simple choice as my #1 stack.
Ja’Marr Chase ($13,260)
As above, the studs are a little too expensive, and there isn’t much cheap value at the WR position. If we get all the expected value at RB, then we’ll be looking to fill out lineups with players from just below the top tier who have big ceilings. Chase fits the bill perfectly with two 30+ games already this season. I said last week that we have to take the bad and with the good for these elite rookies, but I still want to keep betting on him while the price is well below where it will eventually settle in his career. The Steelers matchup looks pretty difficult, but we did see them play a shootout with the Chargers last week, so it’s wise to ignore any worries about the game environment.
Deebo Samuel ($14,300)
Another player in the mid-range with elite upside, Samuel keeps making this article because he always profiles as a generous discount from some of the bigger name players with similar production. Look at the box score of Davante Adams & compare it to Deebo this season, and then tell me why there is a $4000 price gap between the two. I think the game with the Vikings can turn into a sneaky shootout, so I’ll trust what we’ve seen from Deebo all season and play him heavily again.
Dallas Goedert ($8,700)
After writing up Goedert several times, I thought the rewards were coming last week when he started nicely and got some good redzone looks. Alas, some missed connections turned what could have been a big score into another middling effort. It’s true that Jalen Hurts has limitations in the passing game, and that Goedert may be thriving with a different QB targeting him, but I still think they have a slate winning score in them as a stack. A great matchup with the Giants is another good chance to try again and see if we can’t be on board when the ceiling week finally hits.
Kyle Pitts ($10,980)
TE is always tough to differentiate, and there are many players that I couldn’t make some kind of argument for. One call I feel good about this week is preferring Pitts to George Kittle. Kittle has looked in some good form, and admittedly has a higher floor than the Falcons rookie. But with a $2,000 price gap and an easier matchup for Pitts, I’m drawn to the fact that he’s scored ~30 twice already and could have the superior ceiling at this point in their careers.
Houston Texans ($5,990)
It’s a weird week for DST with the Patriots the only team priced right up, despite a seemingly tougher matchup. I’m going to write up the Texans just for fun, because most weeks we’ve been trying to target whoever is playing against them. With shaky rookie Zach Wilson back at the helm, and some better general play from the Houston outfit recently, there is plenty of potential for the Texans to continue their momentum and embarrass the Jets.
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