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NFL 2022-23 Daily Fantasy Tips: Super Bowl LVII
The big dance, the jewel in the crown, the grandest stage of them all. Super Bowl LVII will be contested between the two best teams throughout the regular season, with the Philadelphia Eagles taking on the Kansas City Chiefs. And we’ve got you covered for the final DFS contest of the season.
Draftstars is putting on massive 6-man contest, with $25,000 worth of prizes and a 1st price of $2,480. There are heaps of smaller contests for players as well, so get in and make the Super Bowl that little bit more exciting.
Given there’s only two teams to talk about in this article, I’ll talk about what each team has to offer in each position, and hopefully find some players who are primed to kill it in Super Bowl LVII.
Jalen Hurts - $22,710
Hurts is close to matchup proof, however the injury to his throwing shoulder in week 15 against the Bears has definitely slowed him. It’s clearly affecting his throwing accuracy downfield, but the biggest concern seems to be the coaching staff being reluctant to call running plays for Hurts. You’d think that will have to change here, as everything is laid on the line for the Super Bowl. I expect more running plays for Hurts, which gives him more opportunities to earn points, however I’m still a little concerned about his deep passing. I’d say Hurts has a slightly higher upside than Mahomes, given his ability to rush, however he floor is lower, with the concerns over his throwing.
Patrick Mahomes – $22,690
Basically no difference in the prices of the two quarterbacks for the Super Bowl, so price is absolutely NOT a factor. What is a factor, in my opinion, is experience. This is an area that Mahomes has the obvious advantage over Hurts. This is Mahomes’ 3rd Super Bowl, adding onto his 5 AFC Championship games. He’s been there in the biggest moments, and he’s excelled. I don’t see him having the problems he had against the Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV, as the Chiefs Offensive Line is much improved. If the Chiefs are to win, it’s got to be through Mahomes, and given this he would be my selection in a one-off team.
Isaiah Pacheco - $11,980
Pacheco is about as automatic as it gets for running backs in this game. The problem is, given his price as the most expensive running back, it’s hard to make a case for him. His floor is easily the highest of any running back, however his ceiling is arguably the lowest. With a highest score of 16.2 and only two scores all season above 15, I cannot advocate for his selection.
Miles Sanders - $11,850
The Eagles are going to have to run the ball extremely well to win this game. The most likely game state for an Eagles win is the same script they have been running all season, get out to an early lead, and pound the ball behind their elite offensive line. Sanders is not like Pacheco, in that his floor is really poor (5 scores under 6), however his ceiling is as high as just about any skill position player in this game (3 scores of 31+). The Chiefs will definitely stack the box trying to stop the run, but I still see Sanders getting a chance to impress here.
Jerrick McKinnon - $11,440
I like McKinnon more than Pacheco this week, and it’s very much akin to my opinion on Sanders. McKinnon has been poor in the playoffs (2.5, 3.8), however I can see him getting a chance in this game, particularly in the passing game. McKinnon is the ultimate boom/bust option, and I would only take him if he is the only running back you select. I say this as Pacheco and McKinnon will cannibalize one another, whilst in a 6-man game it’s hard to select two boom/bust running backs and feel good about it.
Kenneth Gainwell - $6,400
Gainwell has been all the talk coming into the Super Bowl, with two massive games so far in the playoffs. Against the Giants, Gainwell ran for 112 yards and a touchdown, whilst in the NFC Championship game, Gainwell managed 48 rushing yards and 26 receiving yards. I don’t buy the hype, as Gainwell has come into this two games that were already blowouts. If this game is tight, and the betting market suggests it will be, the Eagles are more likely to stick with Sanders. Gainwell is a no from me, unless you need him to round out your roster with minimal salary left.
A.J. Brown - $16,560
Brown’s performances have slowed since the Jalen Hurts injury, as the deep ball has gone away. I’m also of the opinion that Brown has been dealing with several injuries over the past month or so, and it has shown in the Eagles shifting their focus to DeVonta Smith. Despite this, in this game it’s hard to pick which Eagles wide receiver to select.
DeVonta Smith - $15,780
As mentioned above, this is tight between Smith and Brown. If I had to pick one, I’d take this man, DeVonta Smith. Smith has become the main man in the passing game for the Eagles over the past month, with Smith averaging 7.5 receptions and 88.75 yards per game over the past 4 games for the Eagles (not counting NFCCG against 49es). If I can somehow shoe-horn Smith in with Kelce, I’ll be doing it.
JuJu Smith-Schuster - $11,180
JSS is an interesting proposition. He plays predominately in the slot, which assists his potential score against the Eagles, however it’s not like Avonte Maddox is a scrub in the slot. The Chiefs have turned into a dink and dunk offense with the loss of Tyreek Hill, so if he’s healthy I expect JSS to get targeted plenty, with surely Kelce being doubled over the middle of the field.
Kadarius Toney - $7,090
Toney is listed as questionable, however if he plays he’s a really solid option at this price point. He’s the gadget guy for this offense, and gets an extraordinarily high number of targets per route run. There’s no doubt if he gets a decent snap count, he will be targeted. Keep an eye out for the active list if you can, and if Toney suits up, get him in.
Travis Kelce - $19,210
Kelce is just a different animal in the playoffs, which he has shown with his 21 receptions, 176 yards and 3 touchdowns in just two games. In my opinion, Kelce is the only Chief who can win the Super Bowl MVP not named Mahomes, and I would not at all be surprised to see him with 10+ receptions, 100+ yards, and 2+ touchdowns. Just like the man below, the quarterback/tight end combo is one you have to take, but even more-so with the Chiefs. If you pick Mahomes, you’ve GOT to take Kelce.
Dallas Goedert - $11,900
Goedert, in my opinion, is the most under-rated tight end in the league. Goedert has one score below 5 all season (4.2), with his next lowest being 7.3. He is targeted often, and given the potential shoulder issue still facing Hurts, Goedert should once again get plenty of targets. Whilst Goedert doesn’t have the upside of Kelce, he is extremely consistent, and an option in the pass game for the Eagles if you believe they will be playing from behind for large portions of this contest.
Philadelphia Eagles - $6,390
You’re honestly only picking a D/ST unit in this game if you are predicting a low score from one team. With how this game is being lined total wise, it’s hard to see it being particularly low scoring. I am a little intrigued by the Eagles D/ST, based on how they’ve played throughout the season. The Eagles had the most sacks on the season, whilst also being ranked inside the top 5 for takeaways. The Chiefs were susceptible to turnovers throughout the year too, ranking 8th in giveaways this year. A consideration.
Kansas City Chiefs - $5,660
The Chiefs D/ST units have been explosive in the back end of the season, averaging 9.4 over their past 5 games. I see the only real game state where the Chiefs D/ST is a viable option is if you think the Chiefs get out to a good lead, the Eagles are forced to chase, and Hurts throws several interceptions of Sanders has one of his fumble days. I can’t see this game state happening, and I won’t be selecting this unit in any of my squads.
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