The week 11 Monday morning slate of 11 games gives us 8 early games, and 3 late window games to whet our appetites this week. The weather continues to move into the northern states, with totals beginning to crash in several of this week’s games.

Averages were again up last week, with the average game totalling 46.9 points after a couple of barn burners in the Monday main slate. Whilst this certainly gets me excited, the market totals this week leave me sceptical as to whether this high scoring can continue. The average total this week in the market sits at 42.7, with several games lined in the low 40s, and two games in the high 30s. So, it would be a good idea to focus in on some key matchups this week, particularly if stacking.

Draftstars once again is your place to play, with a $30,000 slate for Monday morning, with a first prize of $2,665. There’s plenty of other contests that might tickle your fancy, so get on over to Draftstars and get involved.



Justin Fields - $13,030

I’m flabbergasted by this price on Fields. This guy is a fantasy STUD, averaging 34.9 over the past 4 weeks, and a staggering 44.6 over the past 2 weeks. Whilst it would be insane to see another 40+ score, it can’t be discounted. Atlanta has not faced a dual threat QB all season, and still rank 24th in the league at points allowed to quarterbacks. They also rank 23rd against running backs, indicating they aren’t great at shutting the run down. This could be the highest scoring game of the week; with both teams believing defence is something that goes around your house. Fields is the 6th most expensive QB in this slate, which is crazy. Get on again.

Joe Burrow - $13,220

Burrow is fresh of the bye and coming up against a team he scored 25 points against in week 1, despite throwing 4 interceptions. I’m concerned with his lack of production since the Chase injury; however, I love his matchup this week. The Steelers are 31st in the league in pass yards allowed, 29th in EPA per dropback allowed, and 32nd in explosive pass rate allowed since week 5. Whilst Minkah Fitzpatrick coming back early from his appendectomy is good for this secondary, they are still missing 3 starters, and I’m betting on burrow getting enough help from Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd to put up big numbers.

Running Back

Saquon Barkley - $18,320

Not a huge fan of the price here for Barkley, however I see him being the number 1 running back in this slate. This season Barkley has been as consistent as just about anyone in DFS, giving him a tremendous floor, however his ceiling has been a little low for mine, with only one score above 26. This week though, he gets another nice matchup against the Detroit Lions. The Lions have given up the 6th most points to opposing running backs this season, and since week 5 concede the 3rd most rushing yards per game and are 27th in explosive run rate allowed. I see 20-30 very often for Barkley in this matchup.

Nick Chubb - $12,360

I kind of liked this matchup better when the game was being played in Buffalo, however Chubb will still get his touches in the dome in Detroit. Chubb has been a beast this season, currently ranking 9th in the league in yards after contact per attempt, and scoring a league leading 11 rushing touchdowns. The Bills rushing defence hasn’t been great either, particularly of late, and with ILB Tremaine Edmunds out for the Bills, if Chubb can get into that second level, he will break some big runs and score well into the 20s.

Jaylen Warren - $8,000

Warren is a bit of a speculator this week, however he is starting to warrant more and more snaps in this Steelers backfield, and it’s just a matter of time before he breaks off a big score. His snap count rose to 43% last week, and I’m banking on that upward trajectory continuing this week against the Bengals. Not a huge write up about this guy, just one to keep an eye on, particularly if Mike Tomlin continues grooming him as the lead back over Najee Harris.

Wide Receivers

Justin Jefferson - $17,800

Anyone who watched the Vikings and Bills game last week will have seen the catch of the season, and potentially a top 3 catch of all time, when Justin Jefferson made the one-handed grab late in last weeks thriller. Jefferson has taken the step from top 5 wide receiver in the NFL to legit number 1 receiver this season, and he cannot be stopped. With six 100 yards receiving games and 4 of them eclipsing the 140-yard mark, and no Tyreek Hill playing this week, Jefferson will be in 50%+ of line-ups, and you can’t afford to leave him out. Jefferson draws a tough matchup this week against Trevon Diggs, however I don’t see it stopping him, he’s that good.

Ceedee Lamb - $14,770

Lamb had his biggest week of the year last week, and we are kind of buying high on him here, but I don’t mind. He’s got every opportunity to score like this on a weekly basis, currently ranking 2nd in the league in target share, 3rd in target per route run rate and 6th in air yard share. Lamb will run a good chunk of his routes from the slot, where the Vikings have really struggled this year, allowing the 5th most points to opposing slot wide receivers in the NFL. This could be a fantastic dual between Jefferson and Lamb, and I’ve got no doubt both will push each other to massive games.

Garrett Wilson - $7,820

Love this guy. Struggled out of the gates this year, however he now seems to have taken over as the WR1 in this team with the injury to Corey Davis. Despite the slow start, I see this guy as the best wide receiver in this draft class. His route running is elite, and if Zach Wilson can become a league average quarterback, this team could actually be good. There is a slight concern with his matchup this week, but from what I’ve seen the last two weeks, Wilson will still get targets and will catch most of them. A cheap WR2/FLEX option this week.

Tight End

Dalton Schultz - $8,850

Schultz is Dak Prescott’s binkie, and as such his scores will continue to blossom with the return of Prescott under center. Last week, Schultz saw his highest snap count of the season, and highest routes run of the season. Schultz has averaged 7.5 targets per game since the return of Prescott, which would be good for third in the league amongst tight ends for the season. He gets a solid matchup too, with the Vikings allowing the 8th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends, 9th highest catch rate, 9th highest yards per reception, and 10th most receiving touchdowns.

Greg Dulcich - $7,240

Dulcich has turned into a solid target for Russell Wilson, and apart from last week he has taken advantage of these targets. He’s averaging just over 5 targets per game since being plugged into the lineup, however he has shown he can be a deep target, which is handy for this tight end position, particularly if he continues to get 5 or 6 total targets each week. Dulcich is currently 14th in target share and 5th in deep targets. Boom or bust, but he gets a matchup against a Raiders team who are allowing the 4th most touchdowns to opposing tight ends and 5th most fantasy points allowed. High ceiling guy if you want something to watch in this horrific game.


New England Patriots ($6,730)

Bill Belichick owns the New York Jets. That’s all you need to know. Not only that, but this Patriots defence is so good at creating turnovers, especially against young quarterbacks. The Patriots currently have the third most takeaways of any team in the NFL, whilst the Jets are top 10 at giving the ball away. If Robert Saleh can’t scheme something up to assist his young quarterback Zach Wilson to play it safe, this could be a long day at the office. I expect sacks, takeaways and low scoring, a perfect recipe for D/ST.

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