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AFL 2019 Fantasy Tips: Round 2 Sydney v Adelaide
We are off the SCG this Friday night where the Sydney Swans take on the Adelaide Crows for the second daily fantasy slate of round 2 for the 2019 AFL season.
The typical friday night tournaments are on offer across the platforms:
In addition to previews for each an every slate this season, Daily Fantasy Rankings has also unveiled our AFL Resources page. This section provides you all the data you need to build your best line-ups. It includes daily cheat sheets for both Draftstars and Moneyball, Player Correlation tables, Player Out tables, Scores Against tables, Tagging information, statistical breakdowns and much more!
Click on the team to check out our season preview:
Where to Attack
In 2018 Sydney were one of the stingiest teams in the league giving up the 4th fewest fantasy points in the league, while Adelaide played a much different style conceding the 6th most.
This trend continued in round 1 with Sydney giving up the 4th lowest score to the Bulldogs despite losing the game. As a result the initial thoughts are to target Swans players on this single game slate, the question is where?
The Crows gave up the third most fantasy points to opposition backs in 2018 and 87 points per player to the top three scoring backs.
As a result of their offensive game play they also conceded the third most points to the top three scoring opposition midfielders at 109 points per player.
The only clear avenue to attack Sydney is through the ruck where they gave up 97 points per game to the oppositions number 1 ruck in 2018, which was the fourth highest mark in the league. Callum Sinclair remains their first ruck at this stage indicating this stat should hold true.
While this game is expected to remain close all the indicators above point in the direction of at least mini stacks for the Swans. It is worth noting that these two teams played just the single game last year, at the SCG, and it was a balanced affair fantasy wise with both teams having two players pass the 100 point mark.
If you are looking to take advantage of the Crows leaking points to opposition backs and start with Jake Lloyd there are several options for correlated plays. Isaac Heeney has a positive 0.4 correlation with Lloyd and would should also be a strong chance to be in Sydney's top three scoring midfielders. Tom Papley is another player who correlated with Loyd at positive 0.3, which might not be the highest but Papley also looks to have a role change this year that is boosting his scoring (more on this below).
If you are targeting Swans stacks but are looking to mix in some Crows, Matt Crouch is always a good option given he has a strong history of not correlating with any team mate, meaning his scores are typically derived by his own play and not linked to performance of others.
Oliver Florent (DS $8,720, MB $5,300) saw a price drop after his poor performance last week. Back at home and at this price point he looks to be worth another shot. He went over 70 fantasy points in nine games last season and the free flowing game style of the Crows should provide him with plenty of opportunity in this matchup.
Taylor Walker (DS $8,290, MB $5,300) was absolutely woeful last week. Great sell right? However he is probably worth a flier in some lineups as the Swans were a little susceptible to forwards last year giving up an above average 64 points per player to the position. Walker also ripped the Swans apart in this game last year tallying 4 goals and 102 fantasy points, I might be the last person going down with the ship here but it is hard to ignore that upside for price in a single game slate.
Tom Papley (DS $10,010, MB $5,400) has been rotating heavily through the midfield this year during JLT where he posted a score of 118 in the second game and last week against the Western Bulldogs where he returned a score of 92 points. With the Crows typically allowing high scores to opposition midfielders Papley becomes a lock and load play for me on this slate.
Jake Lloyd (DS $15,200, MB $9,100) is in the ideal match up here against the Crows who as mentioned above give up points to backs and the top scoring backs in particular. Lloyd started where he left in 2018 in round 1 with a massive 35 touches and 126 fantasy points. He gets “kick in” bonus to boot. Start here and build some Sydney mini stacks around the little fantasy pig.
Rory Sloane (DS $13,620, MB $8,500)... Wait.. Yes I’ve said it. Time to lay it on the line with this one. Fresh off a monster monster 144 points last week and at this price point most will have Sloane as a lock and load play. But the Hawks did not apply a tag to Sloane last week. In 2018 Sloane was tagged 5 times in 12 games and averaged just 82.6 points in the contests. Sydney have one of the top taggers in the league in George Hewitt who was given roles in 17 of the 23 regular season games last year. I would be stunned if Hewitt doesn’t go to Sloane in this match and I will be running a full fade while everyone else dives into Sloane here.
Don't @ me!
The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for these games. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!
|Rory Sloane Under 103.5 Fantasy Points
|Bet now at BetEasy!
|Jake Lloyd Over 104.5 Fantasy Points
|Bet now at Neds!
|Matt Crouch To Get 35 or More Disposals
|Bet now at Sportsbet!
|Callum Sinclair Under 89.5 Fantasy Points
|Bet now at Pointsbet!
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