Devin Booker

NBA Monday (Tuesday AEST) brings a massive 9 game slate to attack. The usual major DFS tournaments are on offer:

We have broken down the matchups and highlighted the key plays to help you build winning lineups. For more insight into how to utilise our game breakdown data check out our NBA DFS Training Camp Series:

Part 1 – Betting Lines and Totals

Part 2 – Matchup Analysis – Pace and Defense vs Position

Part 3 – Key Statistics in Daily Fantasy Basketball

Part 4 – Trade Analysis – Breaking Down the Jimmy Butler Trade

Part 5  DraftKings Sharpshooter Winning Lineup Recap

Part 6 – Adjusting for Line-up News

Have you seen our new NBA DFS Cheat Sheets? We have added even more information for you to see at a glance, including pace numbers, last 5 scores per player and a new Slate Overview section, which brings you projected pace, projected fantasy score totals and Vegas lines and totals for every team on the slate. The perfect accompaniment to our regular previews and a great starting place for the days we don't cover!


NBA Game Breakdown

This picture just goes to show had much uncertainty there is to deal with in the NBA at this time of year with 6 out of the 9 games yet to have game totals and lines set as we await lineup news. Understanding the impact of this is probably more important than breaking down the games at this point in the ear and we break down the major implications below.

NBA Pace of Play

Just one of the top ten fastest teams in the league are playing on this slate in the Milwaukee Bucks. That gives Brooklyn the top pace up matchup on this slate, while the Bucks are the only other team with a pace up matchup. This makes the game arguably the top target on this slate.

The other sneaky game to attack is Cleveland at Phoenix, which sees the bottom two teams in defensive efficiency this season matchup against each other.

Injury News

Major injury news that could impact this slate includes:


Lauri Markkanen, Otto Porter, Kris Dunn and Zach Lavine remain out on this slate. Trying to decipher the Bulls lineup right now is akin to solving the ‘Davinci Code’. Can I interest you in a bit of Walt Lemon Jr. (DS $10,680, DK $3,000)? Never heard of him you say, well he is expected to start at point guard on this slate and is fresh off a 42.5 fantasy point performance last game (which was his first game for the season).

Chicago Injuries


Luka Doncic is listed as a game time decision - “tanking” on this slate. Trey Burke (DS $7,450, DK $4,000) has been the biggest beneficiary in the games Doncic has missed this season averaging +10.1 fantasy points from an extra 6.6 minutes of playing time.

Luka Doncic Out


Blake Griffin is listed as out on this slate. Andre Drummond (DS $17,560, DK $9,700) should come into rostering considerations averaging +7.3 fantasy points in games Griffin has missed this season.

Blake Griffin Out


Khris Middleton and Giannis Antetokounmpo missed today’s game and are game time decisions on this slate. If both are out Eric Bledsoe (DS $12,890, DK $7,600) should receive a massive usage bump and monitor the expected starters for value.


Joel Embiid is out on this slate. Jonah Bolden (DS $5,650, DK $4,500) will start in place of Embiid and 43.5 fantasy points in the most recent game. Tobias Harris (DS $13,110, DK $7,400) has seen the biggest increase in fantasy scoring in games Embiid has missed this year at +8.6 points.

Joel Embiid Out


Deandre Ayton is out on this slate. Dragan Bender (DS $7,550, DK $4,300) will take the starting position if Holmes is out as well (currently game time decision). Bender has averaged +11.4 fantasy points in the 6 games Ayton has missed this year.

Deandre Ayton



At this stage of the year it is more imperative than ever to monitor lineup news closer to slate tipoff, particular those uncertainties noted above, as further value should open up.

Jonah Bolden (DS $5,650, DK $4,500) will be starting and playing around the 30 minute mark with Joel Embiid out as mentioned above. Bolden has averaged 0.95 fantasy points per minute this season making him too cheap for the level of workload he will receive.

Tristan Thompson (DS $10,220, DK $4,100) is close to a lock and load play on this slate, especially if Kevin Love is out. Thompson’s minutes have increased since returning from injury peaking at 26 minutes and 28 fantasy points last game. On this slate he will matchup against Dragan Bender and the Suns have given up the 5th most fantasy point sin the league to centres over the last 10 games.

Points Against Cs


Tobias Harris (DS $13,110, DK $7,400) has had the biggest increase in fantasy scoring of the remaining stars with Embiid out this season (as mentioned above). He is also priced at the cheapest of the three and brings 50 point upside in a matchup with the tanking Dallas Mavericks.


Devin Booker (DS $20,660, DK $10,100) is just impossible to ignore in his current form. This time of the season is Booker time (not a compliment) and we have all seen in the past the upside he can bring when the air is totally out of the season. Booker has averaged 61 fantasy points over his last 5 games and on this slate played the worst defensive team in the league (30th in defensive efficiency) in the Cavaliers who have also given up the 5th most points to shooting guards over the last 10 games.

Points Against SGs

Karl Anthony Towns (DS $18,530, DK $10,400) has been down recently by his standards not topping the 50 point fantasy mark in the last three games. He is my sneaky play on this slate however, bringing his 70+ upside and going against one of the worst defensive bigs in the league in Enes Kanter.

Data provided by Notorious of RotoGrinders and Daily Fantasy Rankings NBA Resources


DFR Dragon's Picks

The Daily Fantasy Rankings "Dragon" has scoured the Australian sports betting markets and found some great value picks for these games. Check out his picks for the day below and click on the links to follow his betting plays!

Dragon's Picks Odds Sportsbook
Al-Farouq Aminu over 8+ rebounds $1.80 Bet now at BetEasy!
Brooklyn Nets $2.35 Bet now at Neds!
Karl Anthony Towns over 26.5 points $1.90 Bet now at Sportsbet!
Player Points Handicap - Karl Anthony Towns +2.5 $4.33 Bet now at Pointsbet!





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